Welcome back to You Win Or You Die, The A.V. Club’s weekly Game Of Thrones dead pool. Each week, with the help of the talented and genial Benjamin Eckstein, oddsmaker and owner of America’s Line, we’ll be placing bets on who we think will make it through the coming weekend’s episode of Thrones. We can also place “prophecies for profit” bets, which carry throughout the season. At the end of the season, one A.V. Club staffer will reign supreme, sitting atop our nonexistent Iron Throne. As always, you can play along at home via the TV Deadpool site.
Though last week’s Game Of Thrones premiere was a little light on main character carnage, Josh Modell and Erik Adams managed to eke out a few bucks by betting on the “under,” and both sit atop our leader board this week with $160. Kristi-Lynn Jacovino brings up the rear with $60, though we’ll note that there are still plenty of episodes to come in which she can turn that performance around—especially given this week’s excellent slate of odds.
Let’s start with some death odds:
2-1 Tormund Giantsbane
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: He’s going up to the east castle, where the White Walkers are, and we all know they’re trouble.
The A.V. Club says: Poor Tormund. Will he ever catch a break?
3-1 The Sand Snake girls
4-1 Yara Greyjoy
5-1 Ellaria Sand
6-1 Petyr Baelish
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: Kill that son of a bitch already. He’s so slimy.
The A.V. Club says: As much as we’d like him to take a short walk into a long sword, we’re pretty sure he has at least a few more weeks of scheming to do.
8-1 Theon Greyjoy
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: He has nothing to live for. Bye-bye.
The A.V. Club says: That’s not entirely true. There’s always redemption.
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: Enough with the smoke already.
The A.V. Club says: Given that this story offers an intriguing suggestion as to what Melisandre’s up to, we’re going to say she’ll probably stick around for a bit longer.
12-1 The Hound
15-1 The Mountain
18-1 Brienne Of Tarth
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: She’s got to go. She has a movie coming up.
The A.V. Club says: The movie thing’s never stopped a Thrones cast member before. Still, if Petyr’s going to get what he wants, Brienne will probably have to go.
8-1 The Field: Nymeria the direwolf, Daario Naharis, Grey Worm, Missandei, any of the members of the Brotherhood Without Banners who aren’t The Hound, The “Shame” nurse, or Lady Olenna Tyrell
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: With a bigger field, the odds have to be lower.
The A.V. Club says: That’s fair, but this seems like a good bet this week for those who want a bit of a return.
No one on our list: 25-1
Prophecies for profit:
Note: Bets placed here stay active throughout the course of the show.
The gift that Euron brings to Cersei will be:
2-1 One of the Sand Snakes
3-1 The Dragonbinder, a horn that the Valyrians made to bind dragons to the holder’s will.
4-1 Lady Olenna Tyrell
5-1 An Ice Dragon
Previous prophecies for profit:
2-1 The Hound emerges victorious in CleganeBowl.
5-1 The Mountain emerges victorious in CleganeBowl.
10-1 Someone else wins CleganeBowl.
3-1 Jon Snow and Daenerys Targaryen will sit on the throne together at the end of the series.
Over/under on episodes in which Cersei remains on the Iron Throne: 8.5.
Over/under on how many episodes until Jon Snow’s true parentage is revealed to him: 5.5.
Over/under on total deaths of named characters this week: 2.5
Our picks this week are:
Josh Modell ($160 Westerosi bucks in the bank): $50 on no one, $50 on the field.
Erik Adams ($160): $40 on no one, $40 on the field.
Leo Garcia ($153): $5 on the field, $20 on no one on the list, $23 on the under, $5 on a Sand Snake.
John Teti ($140): $35 on no one on our list, $15 on the field, $40 on the under.
Caity Penzey Moog ($120): $30 on no one on our list, $20 on the field, $10 on the over.
Danette Chavez ($110): $10 on no one on our list, $10 on the field.
Karl Blomberg ($110): $20 on no one on the list, $10 on the under, $10 on a Sand Snake.
Marah Eakin ($90): $30 on a Sand Snake, $10 on no one, $10 on the Sand Snakes being a gift, $10 on Tormund, $5 on the field, and $5 on the over.
Emi Tolibas ($75): $20 on no one on our list, $10 on the under, $20 on one of the Sand Snakes.
Alex McLevy ($70): $30 on no one on our list, $10 on the field, $25 on the under.
Grace Thomas ($65): $15 on the field, $10 on the under.
Kristi-Lynn Jacovino ($60): $10 on no one on the list, $5 on the under, $5 on the field.